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Determinants of cyclists' willingness to comply with mixed traffic provision and to ride on the carriageway rather than the pavement

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55329/bwaa1131

Keywords:

binary logistic regression, cycling provision, shared lane markings, speed limit

Abstract

Stakeholders in many municipalities worldwide are committed to promoting cycling and improving cycling provision. Scarcity of space is a major issue in most of these cities, particularly for main streets with significant movement and place functions. Multiple demands exist on these streets, including moving pedestrians, cyclists, motorised vehicles, parking, people waiting at public transport stops, or staying in the street for place activities. Mixing cyclists and motorised vehicles in the same space in the carriageway might be the only possible solution for cycling provision in these contexts, which is applied in many German cities. The aim of this study is to evaluate the acceptance of cycling in mixed traffic, which we measure as the proportion of cyclists riding on the carriageway versus on the pavement. The empirical work in this study is based on video observations at 273 study sites with a total length of 124 km located in 13 cities in Germany. 260 of these study sites have no marking for cyclists, and 13 have bicycle pictograms. A total of 34 874 cyclists are recorded at these study sites. A logistic regression model is used to quantify the effect of exposure and infrastructure characteristics on the proportion of cyclists on the carriageway. Volumes of motorised vehicles, lane widths > 3.00 m and city type show a significant negative effect on the acceptance of cycling on the carriageway. Cyclist volumes, bicycle pictograms, and a speed limit < 50 km/h significantly increase the likelihood of cycling on the carriageway. The model is then applied to develop evidence-based recommendations on appropriate conditions for mixed traffic provision for cyclists, ensuring pre-defined levels of acceptability. Cycling in mixed traffic without bicycle pictograms should only be recommended with traffic volumes of a maximum of 400 vehicles per hour and a speed limit of < 50 km/h to achieve a proportion of cyclists on the carriageway of 90%. The marking of bicycle pictograms increases acceptance.

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Author Biographies

Sebastian Hantschel, TUD Dresden University of Technology, Germany

Sebastian Hantschel is a postdoc researcher at the Chair of Mobility System Planning at TUD. He finished his PhD in 2022 that analysed determinants of bicyclists' behaviour and safety in mixed traffic situations on major roads in urban areas. His research interests focus on traffic safety and safety-related behaviour of vulnerable road users.

CRediT contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Visualization, Writing—original draft.

Bettina Schröter, TUD Dresden University of Technology, Germany

Bettina Schröter is a research associate at the Chair of Mobility System Planning at TUD. After studying traffic engineering in Dresden, she is now a PhD student. Her research interests focus on bicycle safety in general and the analysis of bicycle crashes and bicyclists’ safety-related behaviour in particular.

CRediT contribution: Writing—review & editing.

Regine Gerike, TUD Dresden University of Technology, Germany

Regine Gerike is head of the Chair of Mobility System Planning at TUD. Before joining TUD, she chaired the Institute for Transport Studies at the University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) in Vienna, Austria. From 2008 to 2012 she was assistant professor at Technische Universität München, head of the Research centre mobility and transport and of the PhD-program “mobil.LAB Sustainable Mobility in the Metropolitan Region of Munich”. Her research interests include transport planning and traffic safety with a focus on vulnerable road users.

CRediT contribution: Supervision, Writing—original draft, Writing—review & editing.

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2024-09-14

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How to Cite

Hantschel, S., Schröter, B., & Gerike, R. (2024). Determinants of cyclists’ willingness to comply with mixed traffic provision and to ride on the carriageway rather than the pavement. Traffic Safety Research, 7, e000061. https://doi.org/10.55329/bwaa1131